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Despite February storm, US coal plant retirements likely to continue

09 Mar 2021

Despite the Feb. 14 winter storm's triple-digit natural gas prices, massive gas-fired generation outages, soaring power prices and rolling blackouts in the southern Great Plains of the US, coal-fired generation is likely to continue to show net capacity reductions across the Lower 48 in the next few years.
 
About 9.2 GW of coal-fired generation retired in 2020, down from 2019's 14.2 GW, and another 3.2 GW is expected to retire in 2021, followed by 4.9 GW in 2022, S&P Global Market Intelligence data shows.
"The February cold shot was an outlying weather event," said Manan Ahuja, manager of North American power at S&P Global Platts Analytics, in a March 8 email. "It was also short-lived and hasn't had a large impact on forward gas/coal prices."
 
For example, Platts Analytics has estimated that coal-fired generation's share of the Lower 48 states' average daily generation mix hit 28.4% this February, the highest level since January 2019's 29.2% and well above February 2020's 18.8%.
 
 
Source : https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights