China accounted for two-thirds of new global coal plant capacity in 2023, report finds
15 Apr 2024
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A report by Global Energy Monitor found that net coal capacity
grew by 48.4 GW in 2023, with China accounting for about two-thirds of new coal
plant capacity.
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China started construction on 70.2 GW of new coal-power capacity
last year, almost 20 times the rest of the world’s 3.7 GW.
A report by Global Energy Monitor released
Thursday found that net annual coal capacity grew by 48.4 GW, representing a 2%
year-over-year increase. China alone accounted for about two-thirds of new coal
plant capacity.
Other
countries that brought new coal plants online included Indonesia, India,
Vietnam, Japan, Bangladesh, Pakistan, South Korea, Greece and Zimbabwe.
Meanwhile, other countries such as the U.S.
and U.K., slowed their rate of plant closures, with only about 22.1 GW retired
last year — the smallest amount since 2011.
The authors of the GEM report recommended countries
commit to shutting down coal plants at a faster pace, and for nations like
China to adopt stricter controls on the development and usage of new
plants.
“Otherwise we can forget about meeting our
goals in the Paris agreement and reaping the benefits that a swift transition
to clean energy will bring,” said Flora Champenois, a Global Energy Monitor
analyst.
The Paris Climate agreement, signed by most
global governments in 2015, set long-term goals for substantially reducing
greenhouse gas emissions, caused by fossil fuels like coal. Coal power
capacity, however, continues to steadily grow.
China has separately set a goal of reaching net-zero
by 2060. President Xi Jinping said in 2021 that China
would “strictly control coal consumption” up to 2025 and “phase down coal
consumption” thereafter.
Yet, according to data from GEM, China
started construction on 70.2 GW of new coal-power capacity last year, nearly 20
times as much as the rest of the world’s 3.7 GW. The country also only retired
about 3.7 GW of its coal capacity in 2023.
Despite this, GEM said that with “immediate
and determined action,” China can still meet its climate targets, including a
goal set by the National Energy Administration in 2022 to retire 30 GW of coal
power by 2025.
While low retirement rates contributed to
coal’s blockbuster 2023, they are expected to accelerate in the U.S. and
Europe, according to the report. That could offset some of the new capacity in
China.
“Coal’s fortunes this year are an anomaly,
as all signs point to reversing course from this accelerated expansion,” said
Champenois.
Green
energy addition, not transition?
While China has been a major coal user,
accounting for more than half of consumption since 2011, it also helped expand
global renewable energy capacity.
According to a report from the IEA, global renewable
capacity additions increased by almost 50% to nearly 510 GW in 2023, the
fastest growth rate in two decades.
“While the increases in renewable capacity
in Europe, the United States and Brazil hit all-time highs, China’s
acceleration was extraordinary,” the report said.
China commissioned as much solar capacity
as the entire world did in 2022, while wind additions also soared 66%
year-on-year, the IEA said.
However, experts
have argued that China’s rapid economic growth, combined with
the unreliable and intermittent nature of renewable energy sources has kept
coal as a critical fallback option for the manufacturing focused economy.
China
also ranks among the top five countries in terms of global coal reserves, but
not other, less pollutant options like oil and natural gas, according to Rob
Thummel, managing director at energy value chain investment company
Tortoise.
“In China, coal is the largest domestic
energy resource, so China continues to tap it in order to maintain energy
security,” Thummel added.
The IEA estimates that all global coal
generation needs to cease
by 2040 to limit temperature rises within the key threshold of
1.5 degrees Celsius.
According to GEM, meeting this 2040 phase-out
goal would require an average of 126 GW in coal plant capacity to be shutdown
annually for the next 17 years — equivalent to about two coal plants per
week.
The required cuts are even deeper when
accounting for the 578 GW of coal capacity under construction and in
pre-construction, it added. As per GEM’s data, global coal capacity retirements
still have not ever outpaced additions.