China’s Addiction to Coal Deepens in the Heat
20 Jul 2023
China has
an answer to the heat waves now affecting much of the Northern Hemisphere: burn
more coal to maintain a stable electricity supply for air-conditioning.
Even before this year, China was
emitting almost a third of
all energy-related greenhouse gases — more than the United States, Europe and
Japan combined. China burns more coal every year than the rest of the world
combined. Last month, China generated 14 percent more electricity than it did
in June 2022, and the whole increase was generated by coal-fired plants.
China’s ability to ramp up coal usage in recent weeks is the
result of a huge national campaign over the past two years to expand coal mines
and build more coal-fired power plants. State media celebrated the
industriousness of the 1,000 workers who toiled without vacations this spring
to finish one of the world’s largest coal-fired power plants in southeastern
China in time for summer.
The paradox of China’s energy policy is that the country also
leads the world in installing renewables. It dominates most of the global
supply chain for clean energy — from solar panels to battery storage to
electric cars. Yet for reasons of energy security and domestic politics, it is
doubling down on coal.
After three days of negotiations in
Beijing, John Kerry, President Biden’s climate envoy, said on Wednesday that
China’s coal program had been the hardest issue. “The question now is to shift
from some of the coal dependency,” he said.
The United States, which emits far fewer greenhouse gases than
China, is headed in a different direction. It has not built a new coal-fired
plant in a decade, while nearly halving its coal use and increasing natural gas
usage instead.
No country has underground coal reserves as large as those in
China, where officials see domestic supplies as essential to energy security.
Zhang Jianhua, director of the government’s National Energy Administration,
described coal as the “ballast stone” of his country’s energy mix.
“Always regard the protection of national energy security as the
most important mission,” he said at a news conference this spring.
China’s
top leader, Xi Jinping, said in April 2021, that his country would “strictly
control coal power projects, strictly control the growth of coal consumption”
through 2025 and then “gradually reduce it” through the next five years. In
mid-September 2021, he separately banned any further contracts for
China to build coal-fired power plants in other countries.
A
week later, in late September 2021, hot weather overloaded China’s electric grid
and caused rolling blackouts up
and down the country’s seaboard. Workers had only a few minutes’ warning to flee office high-rises before
the elevators shut down. A sudden loss of power at a chemical factory led to an
explosion that injured dozens of workers.
The debacle prompted an emergency
effort to increase coal mining and build more coal-fired power plants in China. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the subsequent halt to Russian energy supplies to
Europe, has increased Beijing’s determination to rely on coal as the core of
its energy security.
China mostly imports oil and natural gas, much of it arriving on
sea lanes controlled by the navies of the United States or India, two
geopolitical rivals. After partial meltdowns at three nuclear reactors in 2011
at Fukushima, in Japan, China has limited the construction of nuclear plants to
a few locations close to the coast.
As of January, China had more than 300 coal-fired power plants
in various stages of proposal, permitting or construction, according to Global
Energy Monitor, a research group. That was two-thirds of coal-fired capacity
being developed worldwide.
Contributing
to the building boom: During the 2021 blackouts, Chinese provinces tried to
hoard electricity and not sell it to other provinces. Many local and provincial
governments have responded by trying to build coal-fired power plants within
their borders.
“To build all this super-redundant coal power will push up our
whole cost of energy,” said Ma Jun, director of the Institute of Public and
Environmental Affairs, a Beijing-based environmental group.
Practically all of China’s new plants are being built by
state-owned enterprises because private developers see the facilities as
financially unviable, said David Fishman, a China electricity analyst at Lantau
Group, a Hong Kong consulting firm.
While
China is building ever more coal-fired plants, it also leads in solar and wind
power. It has installed 3.5 times as much solar power capacity and 2.6 times as
much wind power as the United States, according to the International Renewable
Energy Association, an intergovernmental group in the United Arab Emirates.
China’s
biggest wind and solar projects tend to be in sparsely populated western and
northwestern regions, where the weather is sunny and windy much of the year.
But those sites are far from the provinces near the coast where
most of the population lives and where many electricity-hungry companies are —
and where the weather is generally cloudier and less windy.
Connecting vast solar panel farms and rows of wind turbines to
the coastal areas has required the construction of ultrahigh-voltage power
lines. China has built more miles of ultrahigh-voltage lines than the rest of
the world combined.
One problem is that such lines are exorbitantly expensive.
China’s power companies must purchase 200-meter wide strips of land for each
line, over hundreds of miles. So to be cost effective, the lines need to
transmit electricity around the clock. But the sun does not shine brightly all
day and the wind does not blow all the time.
As a result, the majority of China’s new coal-fired power plants
are being built in conjunction with wind and solar projects, to make sure that
they can transmit power continuously, said Kevin Tu, a Beijing energy expert
who is a nonresident fellow with the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia
University.
Another
big climate change problem posed by China’s continuing heavy use of coal is how
it is mined. More than in most countries, China’s coal is mined underground, a
practice that tends to release a lot of methane into the atmosphere. Methane is 20 to 80 times as potent as carbon dioxide in
its warming effects in the atmosphere. Chinese physicists have estimated that a
quarter of all methane emissions in China come from its more than 100,000 coal
mines, mostly small mines long abandoned but still leaking gases.