COAL SHIPMENTS TO ADVANCED ECONOMIES HEADING FOR A 15-YEAR LOW
15 Nov 2024
During the first 10 months of 2024, coal shipments to advanced
economies fell 6% y/y. Import demand weakened, particularly in Europe, where it
fell 22% y/y as countries continued to decarbonise their electricity
generation. At this rate, shipments to advanced economies will reach a 15-year
low in 2024,” says Filipe Gouveia, Shipping Analyst at BIMCO.
Thermal coal shipments fell by 9% y/y as electricity
generation from coal decreased, especially in Europe. In Asian advanced
economies, shipments only fell 4% y/y, as higher temperatures increased
electricity demand for air conditioning. Coking coal imports in advanced
economies rose 1% y/y, even as steel production marginally decreased. Coking
coal is used to produce virgin steel but not recycled steel.
Shipments to advanced economies are falling for the second
consecutive year in 2024, but their share of global coal shipments has been
falling for longer. In 2009, the last time the volumes were this low, these
economies were the destination of 57% of global coal shipments compared to only
30% today.
“The volume loss so far in 2024 is equivalent to a 0.5%
decrease in global dry bulk cargo, primarily affecting the capesize market.
Despite this, global coal shipments have still risen, supported by strong
shipments to emerging economies,” says Gouveia.