Coal trade reshaped by Asian demand
07 Aug 2024
Vietnam
set to surpass Chinese Taipai in global import rankings
China, the behemoth of global coal trade, continues to defy
trade expectations, according to the International Energy Administration’s Coal Mid-Year Update.
Despite brimming stockpiles, the nation's coal imports surged by
12% in the first half of 2024. While a slowdown is anticipated for the
remainder of the year, China's insatiable appetite has far-reaching
implications for global coal supply chains and prices.
India, not to be outdone, has witnessed a “remarkable” rise in
coal imports. A 21% increase in seaborne coal imports during the first four
months of 2024 underscores the nation's determination to secure energy supplies
amid rapid economic growth. The extension of a coal blending mandate until at
least October 2024 further solidifies India's position as a major importer.
“Even though India seeks to reduce the quantity of imports, new
routes are being established such as the railway from Russia to India via Iran,
and a trial of met coal deliveries from Mongolia,” said the report.
However, Vietnam's emergence as a coal-hungry nation is a
surprising development, said the IEA. The country's coal imports have
skyrocketed 43% in the first four months of 2024, primarily driven by a
confluence of factors including low hydropower availability and robust power demand
growth.
“Vietnam, which recorded remarkable growth in
imports in 2023, is set to surpass Chinese Taipei as the fifth largest coal
importer in 2024,” said the report.
“However, this increase is expected to flatten for the rest of
the year.”
Looking ahead to
2030, Vietnam aims to build five new coal-fired power plants that could further
increase the demand for coal. However, the report noted that the announced
cancellation of the Song Hau 2 project “casts doubt over the others”.