Coal’s share in India’s power mix to decline to half by 2030, renewables to meet new demand: CEA
18 May 2023
The power sector contributes about 40
per cent of India’s total greenhouse gas emissions
The Report on Optimal Generation Mix
2030 Version 2.0 by the Union Ministry of Power’s Central Electricity Authority
(CEA) offers updated projections on what India’s energy mix for the power
sector could look like in 2030.
Last year, 73 per cent of India’s
power came from coal which is expected to go down to 55 per cent by 2030.
Renewable sources (such as small hydro, pumped hydro, solar, wind and biomass)
will rise to 31 per cent in 2030 from 12 per cent right now.
Power capacity differs from
generation. Capacity is the maximum power a plant can produce and is expressed
in watts (or gigawatts or megawatts). Generation is the actual amount of power
produced in one hour, expressed in watt-hours [or billion units (BU)].
Focusing on solar and wind energy
alone, India’s capacity and generation are expected to quadruple. (From 109 GW
to 392 GW and from 173 BU to 761 BU respectively in 2030.)
CEA estimates that for coal plants,
“2,121.5 MW is considered for likely retirement” by 2030, of which 304 MW will
be retired during 2022-23. But with rising power demand, while the share of
coal will reduce in the energy mix, coal power will rise by 19 pr cent in terms
of capacity and by 13 per cent in terms of generation (between 2023-2030)”.
The 2023 CEA report projections
differ from the 2020 report marginally. The differences are as follows: