Macro Intelligence: global coal decline expected by 2026
03 Jul 2024
Global coal consumption faces a forecasted
decline through 2026 as major economies shift towards cleaner energy sources,
despite current high usage and recent price fluctuations.
Despite the UN’s COP28 climate summit declaring “the beginning of
the end” for fossil fuels, it did not go so far as to mandate the end of
coal-fired power plants; rather, it called for an accelerated phase-down of
unabated coal power.
Despite still rising demand
for coal in China, India, and other ASEAN countries, the IEA is forecasting
China’s coal consumption will fall in 2024 before plateauing through 2026.
Overall coal consumption is forecast to peak this decade. It is the first time
the agency has predicted a drop in coal consumption over its forecast period.
This prediction comes even in the absence of governments implementing stronger
clean energy and climate policies.