Opinion: China's rising hydro and solar set to cap coal use in 2024
26 Apr 2024
Consumption growth was concentrated in manufacturing (+112
billion kWh) as factories returned to normal operations after widespread
disruptions caused by lockdowns in 2022 and 2023.
LONDON: China's electricity consumption increased by 209 billion
kilowatt-hours, or 10 per cent, in the first three months of 2024 compared with
the same period in 2023, when the country was emerging from the exit wave of
the coronavirus.
Consumption growth was
concentrated in manufacturing (+112 billion kWh) as factories returned to
normal operations after widespread disruptions caused by lockdowns in 2022 and
2023.
But there was also significant growth from services firms (+53 billion kWh),
residential users (+41 billion kWh) and primary industries such as agriculture
and mining (+3 billion kWh), according to the National Energy Administration.
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Chartbook:
China electricity generation
Generation from large-scaled grid-connected power plants increased by 166 billion kWh
(+8 per cent) in the first three months of 2024, according to separate data
published by the National Bureau of Statistics.
Most of the extra generation was provided by thermal power plants (+108 billion
kWh) primarily fired by coal with
a small percentage burning gas.
There were smaller contributions from wind farms (+34 billion kWh),
grid-connected solar generators
(+17 billion kWh) and hydroelectric generators (+7 billion kWh).
Thermal generation rose 7 per cent from the previous year to a seasonal record
of 1,603 billion kWh and accounted for 72 per cent of all grid-connected output.
By
contrast, hydro generation
increased by just 3 per cent to 210 billion kWh and was well below the seasonal
record of 221 billion kWh set in the first quarter of 2022.
Hydro has been depressed by the persistent drought across southern China that
started in 2022 and lasted through 2023.
But southern areas have been hit by unusually early and heavy rains since early
in April which should recharge water resources and boost hydro output from May
onwards.
SPRING RAINS
China's rainfall and hydro generation are concentrated in the southern part of
the country, where spring rains are followed by heavier precipitation during
the wet phase of the East Asian Monsoon from June to September.