Sinopec forecasts China's coal consumption to peak around 2025
28 Dec 2023
(Reuters) - China Petrochemical Corp, or Sinopec, expects coal
consumption to peak around 2025 at 4.37 billion metric tons, the state energy
group said in an outlook released on Thursday.
Non-fossil energy
supply, led by solar and wind, will likely exceed the equivalence of 3 billion
metric tons of standard coal by 2045 to become the dominant energy source for
more than half of primary energy consumption, Sinopec said in the 2060 outlook,
which was released in Beijing.
Oil consumption is projected to peak
around the middle of 2026-2030 at 800 million metric tons, or about 16 million
barrels per day, partly due to faster-than-expected expansion in the new energy
vehicle sector, Sinopec added.
China, the world's second-largest oil
consumer, is estimated to use 760 million tons, or 15.2 million bpd of oil this
year.
Sinopec also forecast China's demand
for natural gas - a key bridge fuel before reaching carbon neutrality - to
reach a plateau at around 2040 of 610 billion cubic meters (bcm) to account for
13% of primary energy use. This compares with 425 bcm and 9% of primary energy
consumption projected for 2025.
China's total carbon emissions from
energy activities are expected to peak during the 15th Five-Year Plan period at
10.1 billion metric tons, up from 10.02 billion tons in 2023.
(Reporting by Chen Aizhu; Editing by
Tom Hogue and Miral Fahmy)